The illusion of replacement in research into the development of thinking biases: the case of the conjunction fallacy

F Chiesi, C Primi & D Szűcs
© 2016 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.The conjunction fallacy is a violation of a very basic rule of probability. Interestingly, although committing the fallacy seems irrational, adults are no less susceptible to the fallacy than young children. In Experiment 1, by employing tasks where the conjunctive response option involved two non-representative items, we found a large reduction in fallacy rates as compared to traditional conjunction fallacy problems. Nevertheless, fallacy rates remained...
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