Replication data for: Overconfidence in Political Behavior

Pietro Ortoleva & Erik Snowberg
This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of overconfidence in political behavior. Our model of overconfidence in beliefs predicts that overconfidence leads to ideological extremeness, increased voter turnout, and stronger partisan identification. The model also makes nuanced predictions about the patterns of ideology in society. These predictions are tested using unique data that measure the overconfidence and standard political characteristics of a nationwide sample of over 3,000 adults. Our numerous predictions find strong support...
This data repository is not currently reporting usage information. For information on how your repository can submit usage information, please see our documentation.